2024 AFC NFC championship game picks Ravens hold off Patrick Mahomes Chiefs 49ers get back to Super Bowl

2024 AFC NFC championship game picks Ravens hold off Patrick Mahomes Chiefs 49ers get back to Super Bowl

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We're entering the last Sunday before the . It's exciting, yet also sad in a way. Both of the No. 1 seeds -- and -- have made it to Championship Sunday, and will face off against the challengers -- and , both No. 3 seeds in their respective conferences. was victorious in his first-ever road playoff start in Buffalo, while the Lions have now won three in a row, including a victory over their former quarterback in Super Wild Card Weekend. Kenrich Williams Jersey Thescript writersthat the 49ers and Ravens will be facing off in LVIII. Are they correct? Let's discu s who I'm taking against the spread. As always, thanks to the CBS Sports Research Team for making me sound smart.Sunday, 3 p.m. ET (CBS,)Here we go. has won each of his past four starts by 14+ points, while Mahomes has lost four starts by 14+ points in his entire career. Everyone views this matchup as Lamar vs. Mahomes, but I really look at it from the other side. This is the Ravens defense vs. the Chiefs defense. The Ravens were the first team ever to lead/co-lead the league in scoring defense, sacks and takeaways. The Ravens and Chiefs rank No. 1 and No. 2 in scoring defense, making this the first conference championship game between the top-two scoring defenses since 2004.I was dumb enough to doubt Mahomes against the , but he, and ended up victorious. Mahomes is actually the first quarterback ever with zero sacks and zero turnovers in three straight playoff starts. Baltimore's defense provides a much different test than the Buffalo defense, however, and the Ravens are statistically a better offense. So yes, I'm going to be dumb enough to pick against Mahomes again.The Chiefs defense is impre sive, but containing this Ravens offense is such a tough task. Jackson is playing effectively as both a pa ser and runner, and plus are quite the running back room, is a fun playmaker who can make defensive backs mi s at the third level and then is returning to the lineup. I hate 3.5-point lines, but I'm taking Baltimore. The Ravens are 6-0 SU and ATS this season against teams that entered the matchup three or more games above .500. Their average win margin in those games? A whopping 26.2 points. Baltimore is also 10-3 ATS in its last 13 playoff games. There are plenty of trends that say not to bet against Mahomes as an underdog, but I'm ignoring those -- maybe at my own peril.Projected score: Ravens 26-20 in OTThe pick: Ravens -3.5Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET (Fox,)I've been painted as a Lions hater because I had a running column this year attempting to sort out contenders and pretenders throughout the course of the regular season. I saw the Lions as a top-10 team in the during the season, but does that make them a contender? I think the offense is loaded, but the defense always Steven Adams Jersey worried me. I watched their 38-6 lo s to the Ravens, the 41-38 win over the and their lo ses to the and closely, and it had me wondering if they were in that same tier with Baltimore or San Francisco. Now, they get a chance to prove it.The Lions had home-field advantage in the first two rounds of the playoffs, and they made the most of it. The win over the was impre sive, and then the win over the was probably expected. Now, they hit the road to play outside for the first time since Dec. 10! We aren't expecting rain in California like last week, but this is still a road game in just a little bit cooler weather than Detroit's Jrue Holiday Jersey dome provides. The Lions haven't won a playoff game on the road since 1957. As for the 49ers, has no game designation with his shoulder injury, and will play. This is big, because the 49ers are 14-1 when , and Samuel all play the entire game. The 49ers didn't look very polished on either side of the ball last week against the Packers. I'm a suming they will this week. The reason I have the 49ers winning this game is because Purdy's pa sing attack works off timing routes/anticipation. The Lions secondary can be taken advantage of, especially when you consider the amount of playmakers San Francisco has. Will the 49ers key on dominating at the second level and rely on his YAC? Maybe the 49ers will feature against . Then there's that McCaffrey guy, who can do everything.I would consider buying a full point just to be safe. It's probably worth the price, but either way I have the 49ers winning this matchup. Kyle Shanahan is 5-0 at home in the playoffs.Projected score: 49ers 35-24The pick: 49ers -7.5
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